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Risk & Performance Disclosure

Last updated: September 27, 2026

This disclosure forms part of the TipSheet Terms of Service. Please read it before using any call, signal, trade plan or statistic on TipSheet. "TipSheet", "we" and "us" mean TipSheet.

Past performance, actual or hypothetical, is not indicative of future results. Trading stocks, options and futures involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for all investors. You can lose more than your initial investment in futures and some options strategies.

1. TipSheet is a publisher, not an adviser #

TipSheet publishes general market information and commentary. Nothing on TipSheet is investment, trading, tax or legal advice, or a recommendation that any particular person buy, sell or hold any security, option, futures contract or other instrument.

  • We are not registered as an investment adviser, broker-dealer, commodity trading advisor (CTA), commodity pool operator, introducing broker or futures commission merchant with the SEC, CFTC, NFA, FINRA, the Texas State Securities Board or any other regulator in any country.
  • Securities content. We publish in reliance on the "publisher's exclusion" from the definition of investment adviser in the Investment Advisers Act of 1940 (Section 202(a)(11)(D), as interpreted in Lowe v. SEC, 472 U.S. 181 (1985)) and the corresponding exclusion under Texas Government Code §4001.059. That means our content is:
    • impersonal — the same for every user who receives it and never tailored to any person's portfolio, finances or objectives;
    • bona fide — disinterested commentary; we do not accept payment, referral fees or other compensation from anyone to feature, rate or promote any security; and
    • of general and regular circulation — published to the whole member feed on a regular schedule and kept in an archive, not sent as one-off tips to individuals.
  • Gold futures signals. Our gold-futures content is commodity-interest commentary. We rely on the exemption from CTA registration in CFTC Rule 4.14(a)(9) for persons whose advice is not based on, or tailored to, the commodity-interest account or positions of any particular client, and who do not direct client accounts. We do not accept, manage or direct any account, execute trades, offer auto-trading or copy-trading, or size positions for you.
  • Filtering is not personalisation. Alerts can be filtered to tickers you follow or hold. The filter only chooses which items from the same general feed you see; the text is identical for every user.
  • Ask Claude is an educational AI tool. It is instructed not to give personalised buy, sell, hold or position-size instructions for your account. It may still produce statements that sound like advice; they are not, and you must not treat them as such. See the AI Disclosure.

Because TipSheet is not your adviser, we owe you no fiduciary duty, we do not know whether any idea is suitable for you, and you are solely responsible for your decisions. Consider consulting a licensed professional.

2. Content is AI-generated and automated #

Calls, grades, scalp ideas, option ideas, gold signals and summaries are generated automatically by software and large language models from public market data and news. The models are developed by TipSheet's operator and configured with the operator's trading rules, playbook and lessons from past graded calls; they run on third-party AI models (Anthropic's Claude), and the gold signals come from a rule-based engine. See the AI Disclosure. This content is labelled as AI-generated (for example "Generated by Rushil's TipSheet models (AI-assisted)"). They can be wrong, incomplete, based on stale or incorrect data, or produced by a model error.

3. Hypothetical performance — required legend #

Every hit rate, P&L tile, backtest, projection and statistic on TipSheet is hypothetical. The following legend applies to all of them:

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Each statistic in the Service carries the short label "Hypothetical — not actual trading". Results tracked forward in real time are still hypothetical: TipSheet does not execute the trades it describes, and neither the operator's nor any user's actual results are reflected.

4. How our statistics are calculated #

We aim to show the whole record, including losers, costs, sample sizes and periods. The methodology is:

Stock calls and ideas. Each call is recorded at the price when it was published. It is graded at fixed horizons after publication by comparing that entry price with later prices from our data feed. A call counts as "right" if price moved in the called direction by the grading horizon. Hit rates are the share of graded calls that were right, over the period and sample size shown. They ignore commissions, spreads, slippage, borrow costs, taxes and option premiums unless stated.

Gold futures signals.

  • Data: one-minute bars for the front-month COMEX gold futures contract from a free, delayed source (currently Yahoo Finance "GC=F"), aggregated into 3-minute and 15-minute candles. The data may contain gaps and errors, and the continuous front-month series can jump at contract rolls.
  • Entry: the price of the signal candle when the signal was logged (the "signal price"). Push alerts may be graded from the price about 10 minutes later, reflecting a delayed feed, where stated. A real trader would usually enter at a different, often worse, price.
  • Exits (trade plan): each signal carries a target and a stop measured in multiples of the Average True Range (ATR) of its timeframe (currently 4 ATR target / 3 ATR stop on 3-minute signals and 1.5 / 1.5 ATR on 15-minute signals). The first of the stop or target touched by a later one-minute bar closes the trade; if one bar touches both, we count the stop. If neither is touched, the trade closes at the last price at the maximum holding time (currently 240 minutes).
  • "Best point" statistics show the most favourable price reached within the holding window. They are a ceiling no trader could reliably capture, not a plan.
  • Costs: P&L tiles and projections deduct a round-trip cost per contract (lot) equal to the "Costs $/lot" setting shown next to the figure, intended to cover commission, spread and slippage. No slippage or other cost beyond that setting is included. Some summary statistics (for example, average result in ATRs) are shown before costs and are labelled so.
  • Position cap and sizing: projections take signals oldest first at the size you enter and skip signals that fire while the maximum number of positions you set is already open. Size, margin and account figures are your inputs, not our advice.
  • Sample periods: backtests replay the trailing 29 days of data through the same code used live, after a 2-day warm-up, and are re-run periodically. Forward-tracked statistics cover the period shown next to them. Samples of this length are short, and results can change sharply as data is added.
  • Filters and rules were chosen with hindsight. Our rules and filters (for example, skipping 08:00–12:00 ET and counter-trend signals) were selected after studying past data, which tends to overstate future results. Signals excluded by filters are still tracked internally.

Figures do not reflect margin calls, forced liquidation, exchange fees, data or platform fees, taxes, currency conversion, overnight gaps, trading halts, or the psychological difficulty of following a system.

5. Risks of the instruments #

  • Stocks can fall sharply or become worthless. Short selling has theoretically unlimited risk.
  • Options are complex and can expire worthless, so you can lose 100% of the premium paid quickly. Selling options can expose you to losses far greater than the premium received. Read the OCC's Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options before trading options.
  • Futures are leveraged. A small price move can produce losses larger than the margin you deposited, and you may be required to deposit more money at short notice or have positions liquidated at a loss. Futures markets can gap, and stop orders do not guarantee execution at the stop price.
  • Short-term and intraday trading ("scalping") involves frequent trades, and costs and slippage can overwhelm any edge.

Only trade with money you can afford to lose.

6. Data, delays and availability #

Prices, news and signals come from third-party sources that may be delayed (often by 10–20 minutes or more), inaccurate, incomplete or unavailable. Alerts, widgets and Live Activities can be delayed or fail. Always confirm prices with your broker before acting. TipSheet is not responsible for losses caused by data errors, delays or outages.

7. Conflicts of interest and personal trading #

The operator of TipSheet trades securities, options and futures for their own account, and may in future have staff who do the same. To manage this conflict, TipSheet has adopted the following policy:

  • Blackout window. Operators and staff do not trade a security or futures contract in the direction of, or against, a TipSheet call or signal from 30 minutes before it is published until 60 minutes after publication.
  • Holdings. Operators and staff may hold long or short positions in securities or futures mentioned on TipSheet, including positions opened before a call and held after the blackout window ends.
  • No paid promotion. TipSheet does not accept payment, referral fees, free shares or other compensation from issuers, brokers, promoters or anyone else to feature, rate or promote any security or instrument.
  • Automated calls. Calls and signals are generated by automated rules and models, not selected by the operator to benefit their positions.
  • Records. TipSheet keeps timestamped records of every published call and signal.

8. No guarantee #

We do not guarantee any result, return, win rate or outcome. We make no claims that you will earn money using TipSheet. Any statement to the contrary — including by other members in the Lounge — is not endorsed by us. Testimonials, if ever shown, are not indicative of typical results.

9. Questions #

Contact legal@tipsheet.trade. This disclosure may be updated; the current version is always at https://tipsheet.trade/legal/risk.